Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.172153 0.199613 0.230052 0.266301 0.308307 0.355470 0.412471
2025-06-15 0.129637 0.166489 0.211670 0.271166 0.347531 0.442372 0.569316
2025-06-22 0.103091 0.142028 0.193186 0.265386 0.364818 0.497208 0.687365
2025-06-29 0.086243 0.125816 0.180826 0.262978 0.382817 0.551713 0.808734
2025-07-06 0.074946 0.114888 0.173192 0.264634 0.404850 0.612461 0.944656
2025-07-13 0.068857 0.110348 0.173621 0.277318 0.443610 0.700987 1.131821
2025-07-20 0.063065 0.105241 0.172179 0.286374 0.477148 0.784613 1.320972
2025-07-27 0.058063 0.100592 0.170630 0.294638 0.509808 0.869845 1.522426
2025-08-03 0.052788 0.094706 0.166157 0.297139 0.532597 0.940639 1.707193
2025-08-10 0.047327 0.087744 0.158903 0.293679 0.544165 0.992811 1.864557
2025-08-17 0.041763 0.079868 0.149043 0.284168 0.543342 1.022270 1.983059
2025-08-24 0.039114 0.077065 0.148014 0.290780 0.573029 1.110491 2.222359
2025-08-31 0.035910 0.072884 0.144060 0.291586 0.592190 1.182004 2.440204
2025-09-07 0.033535 0.070060 0.142409 0.296754 0.620660 1.275039 2.713428
2025-09-14 0.030233 0.064930 0.135554 0.290428 0.624719 1.319198 2.890089
2025-09-21 0.027675 0.061041 0.130764 0.287791 0.636075 1.379415 3.108083
2025-09-28 0.025788 0.058368 0.128206 0.289604 0.657156 1.462429 3.386198
2025-10-05 0.025069 0.058190 0.130978 0.303494 0.706635 1.612798 3.835365
2025-10-12 0.024072 0.057258 0.131964 0.313411 0.748153 1.749892 4.270413
2025-10-19 0.023077 0.056209 0.132561 0.322461 0.788647 1.889073 4.727543
2025-10-26 0.021733 0.054165 0.130618 0.325199 0.814260 1.996001 5.118566
2025-11-02 0.020101 0.051225 0.126222 0.321411 0.823332 2.063984 5.419795
2025-11-09 0.018237 0.047489 0.119494 0.310996 0.814469 2.086662 5.606816